These are predictions, not facts. The first four sections track real signals, roadmaps, and reporting — calls we'll grade as the year plays out. The Tinfoil Desk is pure entertainment — the wild, the fringe, and the fun, flagged as exactly that. For confirmed news see the Wire; for unverified forum chatter see Rumors.
On the Horizon
What's shipping and what's being teased — releases, roadmaps, and the next capability jumps.
Bubble Watch
Is it a bubble, and when does the spend have to show up as revenue? The bull and bear cases.
Society & Work
How AI reshapes jobs, the workforce, and the social contract — predictions worth arguing about.
The Tinfoil Desk
The wild, the fringe, the gloriously unhinged. Pure entertainment — rated by how much tinfoil it takes to believe.
How we call it
What a "prediction" means here, and where the line sits between signal and entertainment.
Informed, not certain
The horizon, bubble, and society calls are built from real reporting, roadmaps, and market signals — then we attach a confidence read. Confidence is a judgment, not a guarantee.
The Tinfoil line
The Tinfoil Desk is labeled entertainment. We find the fringe interesting and fun — but a high tinfoil rating means "enjoy, don't invest." We never dress speculation as fact.
We grade ourselves
Predictions age in public. As calls resolve we'll mark the hits and misses — the point isn't to be right every time, it's to be honest about the track record.